tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Houston via Seattle: arrives on time 48%

  1. 07:22 LAS → 10:05 SEA
    AS 479 · Alaska · 2h 43m · 84% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 SEA → 17:16 IAH
    AS 438 · Alaska · 4h 24m · 70% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 54mLAS 07:22 to IAH 17:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.