tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:22 LAS → 10:05 SEA
    AS 479 · Alaska · 2h 43m · 84% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:42 SEA → 14:04 SFO
    AS 655 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 42mLAS 07:22 to SFO 14:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.