tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 73%

  1. 10:00 ANC → 14:34 SEA
    AS 48 · Alaska · 3h 34m · 88% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 SEA → 19:53 PHX
    AS 744 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 53mANC 10:00 to PHX 19:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.