tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Houston via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 18:45 SJC → 21:00 SEA
    AS 481 · Alaska · 2h 15m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:57 SEA → 06:20 IAH +1 day
    AS 398 · Alaska · 4h 23m · 82% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 35mSJC 18:45 to IAH 06:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.