tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → St Louis via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:00 LAX → 11:52 SEA
    AS 482 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:06 SEA → 18:57 STL
    AS 647 · Alaska · 3h 51m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 57mLAX 09:00 to STL 18:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.