tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Minneapolis via Sacramento: arrives on time 95%

  1. 08:15 PDX → 09:48 SMF
    AS 485 · Alaska · 1h 33m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:21 SMF → 18:49 MSP
    DL 1701 · Delta · 3h 28m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip8h 34mPDX 08:15 to MSP 18:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.