tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Rosa via Los Angeles: arrives on time 89%

  1. 11:15 SEA → 14:01 LAX
    AS 487 · Alaska · 2h 46m · 57% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 LAX → 18:43 STS
    AS 3476 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 43m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip7h 28mSEA 11:15 to STS 18:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.