tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Houston via New Orleans: arrives on time 88%

  1. 23:13 SEA → 05:49 MSY
    AS 490 · Alaska · 4h 36m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:10 MSY → 10:25 HOU +1 day
    WN 934 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 12mSEA 23:13 to HOU 10:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.