tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Houston via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:22 OAK → 08:26 SEA
    AS 491 · Alaska · 2h 04m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 SEA → 17:16 IAH
    AS 438 · Alaska · 4h 24m · 70% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 54mOAK 06:22 to IAH 17:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.