tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 56%

  1. 06:22 OAK → 08:26 SEA
    AS 491 · Alaska · 2h 04m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:45 SEA → 18:00 MDW
    WN 3081 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 57% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip9h 38mOAK 06:22 to MDW 18:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.