tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Houston via Seattle: arrives on time 38%

  1. 06:22 OAK → 08:26 SEA
    AS 491 · Alaska · 2h 04m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:05 SEA → 17:25 HOU
    WN 3619 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 69 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip9h 03mOAK 06:22 to HOU 17:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.