tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Barbara via Los Angeles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 17:10 SEA → 19:55 LAX
    AS 492 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:44 LAX → 23:44 SBA
    UA 4796 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 34mSEA 17:10 to SBA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.