tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Redmond via Los Angeles: arrives on time 61%

  1. 17:10 SEA → 19:55 LAX
    AS 492 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:52 LAX → 22:59 RDM
    AS 2162 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 07m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 49mSEA 17:10 to RDM 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.