tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Santa Rosa via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:19 PDX → 07:17 SEA
    AS 499 · Alaska · 58m · 93% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:54 SEA → 11:58 STS
    AS 1321 · Alaska · 2h 04m · 83% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 39mPDX 06:19 to STS 11:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.