tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Philadelphia via Seattle: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:19 PDX → 07:17 SEA
    AS 499 · Alaska · 58m · 93% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:28 SEA → 16:43 PHL
    AS 442 · Alaska · 5h 15m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 24mPDX 06:19 to PHL 16:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.