tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Tucson via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:19 PDX → 07:17 SEA
    AS 499 · Alaska · 58m · 93% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:19 SEA → 13:31 TUS
    AS 648 · Alaska · 3h 12m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 12mPDX 06:19 to TUS 13:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.