tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Kahului via Seattle: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:19 PDX → 07:17 SEA
    AS 499 · Alaska · 58m · 93% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 SEA → 13:19 OGG
    AS 929 · Alaska · 6h 04m · 72% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip10h 00mPDX 06:19 to OGG 13:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.