tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:19 PDX → 07:17 SEA
    AS 499 · Alaska · 58m · 93% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:40 SEA → 13:35 FAI
    DL 1061 · Delta · 3h 55m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 1 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 16mPDX 06:19 to FAI 13:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.