tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Medford via Seattle: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:19 PDX → 07:17 SEA
    AS 499 · Alaska · 58m · 93% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 SEA → 09:54 MFR
    AS 2111 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 29m · 82% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip3h 35mPDX 06:19 to MFR 09:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.