tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 94%

  1. 09:59 DCA → 12:27 LAX
    AS 5 · Alaska · 5h 28m · 71% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:22 LAX → 17:59 PHX
    UA 5457 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 99% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (99%).
Total trip11h 00mDCA 09:59 to PHX 17:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.