tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Oakland via Los Angeles: arrives on time 58%

  1. 09:59 DCA → 12:27 LAX
    AS 5 · Alaska · 5h 28m · 71% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:30 LAX → 16:50 OAK
    WN 2417 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 64% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip9h 51mDCA 09:59 to OAK 16:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.