tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Monterey via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 12:38 SEA → 15:25 LAX
    AS 502 · Alaska · 2h 47m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:22 LAX → 20:36 MRY
    UA 1363 · United · 1h 14m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 58mSEA 12:38 to MRY 20:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.