tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Honolulu via Los Angeles: arrives on time 48%

  1. 06:03 SEA → 08:47 LAX
    AS 505 · Alaska · 2h 44m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 LAX → 12:58 HNL
    AS 803 · Alaska · 5h 53m · 54% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip9h 55mSEA 06:03 to HNL 12:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.