tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Kahului via Los Angeles: arrives on time 54%

  1. 06:03 SEA → 08:47 LAX
    AS 505 · Alaska · 2h 44m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 LAX → 12:34 OGG
    AS 844 · Alaska · 5h 34m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip9h 31mSEA 06:03 to OGG 12:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.