tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → San Diego via Seattle: arrives on time 79%

  1. 14:59 MKE → 17:24 SEA
    AS 507 · Alaska · 4h 25m · 78% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:04 SEA → 23:56 SAN
    AS 1472 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip10h 57mMKE 14:59 to SAN 23:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.