tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:59 MKE → 17:24 SEA
    AS 507 · Alaska · 4h 25m · 78% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:21 SEA → 21:00 LAS
    AS 478 · Alaska · 2h 39m · 75% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 01mMKE 14:59 to LAS 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.