tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 86%

  1. 14:59 MKE → 17:24 SEA
    AS 507 · Alaska · 4h 25m · 78% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 SEA → 22:55 LAS
    AS 704 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 56mMKE 14:59 to LAS 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.