tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 71%

  1. 16:57 MSP → 18:52 SEA
    AS 510 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:57 SEA → 00:41 ANC +1 day
    AS 1560 · Alaska · 3h 44m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 3 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip10h 44mMSP 16:57 to ANC 00:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.