tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Kalispell via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:57 MSP → 18:52 SEA
    AS 510 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 SEA → 23:59 FCA
    AS 2121 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 24m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kalispell is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 02mMSP 16:57 to FCA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.