tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Pasco via Seattle: arrives on time 91%

  1. 16:57 MSP → 18:52 SEA
    AS 510 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 SEA → 23:39 PSC
    AS 2164 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 59m · 95% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 183 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 42mMSP 16:57 to PSC 23:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.