tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:00 PHX → 09:43 PDX
    AS 511 · Alaska · 2h 43m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:38 PDX → 13:15 SNA
    AS 588 · Alaska · 2h 37m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 15mPHX 07:00 to SNA 13:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.