tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Everett via Portland: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:00 PHX → 09:43 PDX
    AS 511 · Alaska · 2h 43m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 PDX → 11:53 PAE
    AS 2126 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 01m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 53mPHX 07:00 to PAE 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.