tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Santa Barbara via Portland: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:00 PHX → 09:43 PDX
    AS 511 · Alaska · 2h 43m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:47 PDX → 13:05 SBA
    AS 2317 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 18m · 93% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip6h 05mPHX 07:00 to SBA 13:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.