tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Sacramento via Portland: arrives on time 87%

  1. 07:00 PHX → 09:43 PDX
    AS 511 · Alaska · 2h 43m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 PDX → 12:33 SMF
    AS 2399 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 33m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 33mPHX 07:00 to SMF 12:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.