tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Bozeman via Seattle: arrives on time 59%

  1. 07:18 SAN → 10:26 SEA
    AS 512 · Alaska · 3h 08m · 84% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:29 SEA → 14:09 BZN
    AS 285 · Alaska · 1h 40m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 51mSAN 07:18 to BZN 14:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.