tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Diego via Seattle: arrives on time 41%

  1. 08:03 KOA → 16:55 SEA
    AS 513 · Alaska · 5h 52m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:53 SEA → 20:49 SAN
    AS 1388 · Alaska · 2h 56m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip9h 46mKOA 08:03 to SAN 20:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.