tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 64%

  1. 08:03 KOA → 16:55 SEA
    AS 513 · Alaska · 5h 52m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 SEA → 20:00 SJC
    AS 539 · Alaska · 2h 15m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 57mKOA 08:03 to SJC 20:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.