tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 56%

  1. 08:03 KOA → 16:55 SEA
    AS 513 · Alaska · 5h 52m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:42 SEA → 22:55 SFO
    AS 590 · Alaska · 2h 13m · 57% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 11h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 182 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip11h 52mKOA 08:03 to SFO 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.