tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 08:03 KOA → 16:55 SEA
    AS 513 · Alaska · 5h 52m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 SEA → 23:49 PHX
    AS 644 · Alaska · 2h 59m · 70% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 12h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip12h 46mKOA 08:03 to PHX 23:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.