tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → Portland via Phoenix: arrives on time 64%

  1. 14:52 PAE → 17:50 PHX
    AS 515 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:25 PHX → 23:08 PDX
    AA 561 · American · 2h 43m · 68% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 16mPAE 14:52 to PDX 23:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.