tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → Portland via Phoenix: arrives on time 70%

  1. 14:52 PAE → 17:50 PHX
    AS 515 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:56 PHX → 23:38 PDX
    AS 650 · Alaska · 2h 42m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 46mPAE 14:52 to PDX 23:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.