tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 52%

  1. 14:52 PAE → 17:50 PHX
    AS 515 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:53 PHX → 20:23 SAN
    AS 3060 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 71% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 31mPAE 14:52 to SAN 20:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.