tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Kailua/Kona via Seattle: arrives on time 73%

  1. 14:16 SJC → 16:27 SEA
    AS 521 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 SEA → 22:10 KOA
    AS 200 · Alaska · 6h 11m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip10h 54mSJC 14:16 to KOA 22:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.