tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Raleigh/Durham via Philadelphia: arrives on time 89%

  1. 22:02 SEA → 06:13 PHL
    AS 522 · Alaska · 5h 11m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:20 PHL → 09:56 RDU +1 day
    AA 1846 · American · 1h 36m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip8h 54mSEA 22:02 to RDU 09:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.