tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Nashville via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 18:10 SEA → 21:00 LAX
    AS 524 · Alaska · 2h 50m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:59 LAX → 06:08 BNA +1 day
    AA 2149 · American · 4h 09m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 58mSEA 18:10 to BNA 06:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.