tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Newark via Portland: arrives on time 78%

  1. 18:46 SFO → 20:31 PDX
    AS 525 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:31 PDX → 05:59 EWR +1 day
    AS 1631 · Alaska · 5h 28m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 13mSFO 18:46 to EWR 05:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.