tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Anchorage via Portland: arrives on time 64%

  1. 18:46 SFO → 20:31 PDX
    AS 525 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 PDX → 00:25 ANC +1 day
    AS 2192 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 3h 55m · 79% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 39mSFO 18:46 to ANC 00:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.