tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Los Angeles via San Francisco: arrives on time 15%

  1. 07:19 PDX → 09:16 SFO
    AS 526 · Alaska · 1h 57m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 SFO → 11:44 LAX
    AS 1602 · Alaska · 1h 29m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip4h 25mPDX 07:19 to LAX 11:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.