tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Spokane via San Francisco: arrives on time 14%

  1. 08:53 SEA → 11:09 SFO
    AS 528 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 54% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:29 SFO → 14:36 GEG
    AS 3075 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 19% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (19%).
Total trip5h 43mSEA 08:53 to GEG 14:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.