tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Las Vegas: arrives on time 91%

  1. 17:50 PDX → 20:12 LAS
    AS 531 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 84% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:47 LAS → 07:00 JFK +1 day
    AA 2855 · American · 5h 13m · 98% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip10h 10mPDX 17:50 to JFK 07:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.